---
name: alpha-finder-18ff65cf3586
description: Market Oracle for prediction market intelligence - Polymarket and Kalshi research, probability assessments, market sentiment analysis, and arbitrage opportunity identification. Use when users want to research prediction markets, analyze betting odds, or find market inefficiencies. Costs $0.03 USDC per request via x402 protocol on Base network.
---

# Alpha Finder (Market Oracle)

Research prediction markets and find alpha using AI-powered market intelligence across Polymarket, Kalshi, and traditional sources.

## Configuration

The private key must be available via one of these methods:

**Option 1: Environment variable**
```bash
export X402_PRIVATE_KEY="0x..."
```

**Option 2: Config file (Recommended)**

The script checks for `x402-config.json` in these locations (in order):
1. Current directory: `./x402-config.json`
2. Home directory: `~/.x402-config.json` ← **Recommended**
3. Working directory: `$PWD/x402-config.json`

Create the config file:
```json
{
  "private_key": "0x1234567890abcdef..."
}
```

**Example (home directory - works for any user):**
```bash
echo '{"private_key": "0x..."}' > ~/.x402-config.json
```

## Usage

Run the market research script with a query about prediction markets or events:

```bash
scripts/analyze.sh "<market query>"
```

The script:
- Executes market intelligence research with payment handling
- Costs $0.03 USDC per request (Base network)
- Searches web, GitHub, Reddit, and X for comprehensive analysis
- Returns AI-processed market insights and probability assessments

## Examples

**User:** "What are the odds for Bitcoin hitting $100k?"
```bash
scripts/analyze.sh "Bitcoin 100k prediction market odds"
```

**User:** "Find arbitrage opportunities in election markets"
```bash
scripts/analyze.sh "2024 election prediction market arbitrage"
```

**User:** "Analyze Polymarket odds on AI developments"
```bash
scripts/analyze.sh "Polymarket AI development predictions"
```

**User:** "What's the market sentiment on climate policy outcomes?"
```bash
scripts/analyze.sh "climate policy prediction markets Kalshi Polymarket"
```

## Capabilities
- **Polymarket research** - Event analysis and odds tracking
- **Kalshi market analysis** - Regulated prediction market insights
- **Multi-source intelligence** - Searches web, GitHub, Reddit, and X
- **Probability assessments** - AI-powered market sentiment analysis
- **Arbitrage identification** - Spot inefficiencies across markets
- **Event research** - Deep dive into specific prediction market events
- **Historical tracking** - Compare current odds to historical patterns

## Data Sources
The tool automatically searches across:
- Polymarket events and odds
- Kalshi regulated markets
- Reddit discussions and sentiment
- X/Twitter market commentary
- GitHub repositories (for tech-related predictions)
- Web sources for news and analysis

## Error Handling
- **"Payment failed: Not enough USDC"** → Inform user to top up Base wallet with USDC
- **"X402 private key missing"** → Guide user to configure private key (see Configuration above)
- **Timeout errors** → The API has a 5-minute timeout; comprehensive research may take time

## Use Cases
- **Trading:** Find mispriced markets and arbitrage opportunities
- **Research:** Analyze market sentiment on specific events
- **Due Diligence:** Verify market probabilities before betting
- **Portfolio Management:** Track prediction market positions
- **News Analysis:** Understand how events impact market odds


---
Source attribution: kbarbel640-del
Original project: https://github.com/kbarbel640-del/skills/blob/e7e336ac628c3e3bd771aff1aaa469c93778f94a/skills/tzannetosgiannis/alpha-finder/SKILL.md
License: MIT
License information: https://opensource.org/license/mit
Original upstream instructions; downloaded from Mega AI Hub.

## Upstream license notice

MIT License

Copyright (c) 2026 clawdbot

Permission is hereby granted, free of charge, to any person obtaining a copy
of this software and associated documentation files (the "Software"), to deal
in the Software without restriction, including without limitation the rights
to use, copy, modify, merge, publish, distribute, sublicense, and/or sell
copies of the Software, and to permit persons to whom the Software is
furnished to do so, subject to the following conditions:

The above copyright notice and this permission notice shall be included in all
copies or substantial portions of the Software.

THE SOFTWARE IS PROVIDED "AS IS", WITHOUT WARRANTY OF ANY KIND, EXPRESS OR
IMPLIED, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO THE WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY,
FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE AND NONINFRINGEMENT. IN NO EVENT SHALL THE
AUTHORS OR COPYRIGHT HOLDERS BE LIABLE FOR ANY CLAIM, DAMAGES OR OTHER
LIABILITY, WHETHER IN AN ACTION OF CONTRACT, TORT OR OTHERWISE, ARISING FROM,
OUT OF OR IN CONNECTION WITH THE SOFTWARE OR THE USE OR OTHER DEALINGS IN THE
SOFTWARE.



# Mega AI Hub resource metadata

Creator / publisher: kbarbel640-del
Original project: https://github.com/kbarbel640-del/skills/blob/e7e336ac628c3e3bd771aff1aaa469c93778f94a/skills/tzannetosgiannis/alpha-finder/SKILL.md
Attribution basis: Source repository record

Fields of work: Data & Analytics, Marketing, Sales
Roles: Business Development, Data Analyst, Growth Marketer, Marketing Analyst, Product Marketer
Specialties: Specialty not specified
Tools: Base Network, X402 Protocol
Country applicability: Country not specified
Classification basis: Source catalog labels
Instruction SHA-256: 5dfdc5a8413bf2c521b863ee513fc51618b0c5b2c58e5abe2983b3c11df7e525